Global Cooling: Arctic Ice Cap Grows 60%

8 Sep

Nice timing.

Just as Australia gets a new government. One that has made a “blood pledge” to “scrap the carbon tax”, and the $10 billion “green bank”.

From the UK’s The Mail on Sunday:

Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a year with top scientists warning of global COOLING

  • Almost a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than in 2012
  • BBC reported in 2007 global warming would leave Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013
  • Publication of UN climate change report suggesting global warming caused by humans pushed back to later this month

A chilly Arctic summer has left nearly a million more square miles of ocean covered with ice than at the same time last year – an increase of 60 per cent.

The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.

Instead, days before the annual autumn re-freeze is due to begin, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores.

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The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year. More than 20 yachts that had planned to sail it have been left ice-bound and a cruise ship attempting the route was forced to turn back.

Some eminent scientists now believe the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century – a process that would expose computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming as dangerously misleading.

The disclosure comes 11 months after The Mail on Sunday triggered intense political and scientific debate by revealing that global warming has ‘paused’ since the beginning of 1997 – an event that the computer models used by climate experts failed to predict.

In March, this newspaper further revealed that temperatures are about to drop below the level that the models forecast with ‘90 per cent certainty’.

The pause – which has now been accepted as real by every major climate research centre – is important, because the models’ predictions of ever-increasing global temperatures have made many of the world’s economies divert billions of pounds into ‘green’ measures to counter  climate change.

Those predictions now appear gravely flawed.

The continuing furore caused by The Mail on Sunday’s revelations – which will now be amplified by the return of the Arctic ice sheet – has forced the UN’s climate change body to hold a crisis meeting.

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was due in October to start publishing its Fifth Assessment Report – a huge three-volume study issued every six or seven years. It will now hold a pre-summit in Stockholm later this month.

Leaked documents show that governments which support and finance the IPCC are demanding more than 1,500 changes to the report’s ‘summary for policymakers’. They say its current draft does not properly explain the pause.

At the heart of the row lie two questions: the extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels, as well as how much of the warming over the past 150 years – so far, just 0.8C – is down to human greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural variability.

In its draft report, the IPCC says it is ‘95 per cent confident’ that global warming has been caused by humans – up from 90 per cent in 2007.

This claim is already hotly disputed. US climate expert Professor Judith Curry said last night: ‘In fact, the uncertainty is getting bigger. It’s now clear the models are way too sensitive to carbon dioxide. I cannot see any basis for the IPCC increasing its confidence level.’

She pointed to long-term cycles  in ocean temperature, which have a huge influence on climate and  suggest the world may be approaching a period similar to that from 1965 to 1975, when there was a clear cooling trend. This led some scientists at the time to forecast an imminent ice age.

Professor Anastasios Tsonis, of the University of Wisconsin, was one of the first to investigate the ocean cycles. He said: ‘We are already in a cooling trend, which I think will continue for the next 15 years at least. There is no doubt the warming of the 1980s and 1990s has stopped.

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‘The IPCC claims its models show a pause of 15 years can be expected. But that means that after only a very few years more, they will have to admit they are wrong.’

Others are more cautious. Dr Ed Hawkins, of Reading University, drew the graph published by The Mail on Sunday in March showing how far world temperatures have diverged from computer predictions. He admitted the cycles may have caused some of the recorded warming, but insisted that natural variability alone could not explain all of the temperature rise over the past 150 years.

Nonetheless, the belief that summer Arctic ice is about to disappear remains an IPCC tenet, frequently flung in the face of critics who point to the pause.

Yet there is mounting evidence that Arctic ice levels are cyclical. Data uncovered by climate historians show that there was a massive melt in the 1920s and 1930s, followed by intense re-freezes that ended only in 1979 – the year the IPCC says that shrinking began.

Professor Curry said the ice’s behaviour over the next five years would be crucial, both for understanding the climate and for future policy. ‘Arctic sea ice is the indicator to watch,’ she said.

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11 Responses to “Global Cooling: Arctic Ice Cap Grows 60%”

  1. Tomorrows Serf September 8, 2013 at 9:32 pm #

    Another Bankster Scam exposed.

    How many TRILLIONS have been wasted on this garbage for the sake of lining the pockets of banksters, and insiders like Al Gore and Tim Flannery?

  2. JMD September 8, 2013 at 10:02 pm #

    The Arctic Ice cap might be 60% but I’ll wager it means nothing the ‘Mail on Sunday’ says it does. The same (I presume) Mail published this piece of garbage

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-09-07/uk-government-admits-it-allowed-2-firms-sell-poison-gas-making-chemicals-syria

  3. mick September 8, 2013 at 11:01 pm #

    Interesting BI ……. and good that you have found what appears to be a reliable source without vested interests this time. I did a quick search for Judith Curry and she has so far come up ok so what she has to say is worth reading.

    Whilst the Mail on Sunday is probably as reliable as the Telegraph in Australia I must admit that Curry’s report needs further work to see if it is flawed or not and this will without doubt be happening.

    Whilst I am unaware of what is happening in the oceans it does seem bizarre that the air temperatures are setting new records every year. The Northwest passage was featured in a Billy Connolly documentary recently and it looked quite open with the narration that it has been open for years, supposedly meaning that it is not routinely frozen over.

    In the end we will see where this is going but making the conclusion that all of the other (measured) evidence can now be discarded is not in the mix. As they say one swallow doth not a summer make.

    • The Blissful Ignoramus September 9, 2013 at 7:22 am #

      While Curry may have been the scientist most prominently referenced in this particular article, that does not mean she is the only scientist arguing the same / similar view. Something to bear in mind.

      This is the key paragraph:

      At the heart of the row lie two questions: the extent to which temperatures will rise with carbon dioxide levels, as well as how much of the warming over the past 150 years – so far, just 0.8C – is down to human greenhouse gas emissions and how much is due to natural variability.

  4. omanuel September 9, 2013 at 8:33 am #

    Global climate change is only the most recent example of sixty-eight years (2013 – 1945 = 68 yrs) of government deception intended to prevent nuclear annihilation by establishing the present Orwellian, one-world government.

    Here is an updated, one-page synopsis of the 1945-2013 history of science:

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Synopsis.pdf

    That is a synopsis of more detailed information sent to the Congressional Space Science and Technology Committee last month.

    https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Creator_Destroyer_Sustainer_of_Life.pdf

    The corruption of science first became public in 2009 emails and documents:

    http://joannenova.com.au/global-warming-2/climategate-30-year-timeline/

    With kind regards,
    – Oliver K. Manuel
    Former NASA Principal
    Investigator for Apollo

  5. Kevin Moore September 9, 2013 at 8:36 am #

    The global warming agenda has been proved to be based on deception – depending on the ignorance/gullibility or bias towards a political agenda of the populace. Some, such as the ABC would argue that supposedly record high winter temperatures on the southeastern coast of Australia constitutes global warming.

    • Kevin Moore September 9, 2013 at 1:35 pm #

      http://www.theatlantic.com/past/docs/issues/98jan/climate.htm
      .
      THE GREAT CLIMATE FLIP-FLOP
      .
      NE of the most shocking scientific realizations of all time has slowly been dawning on us: the earth’s climate does great flip-flops every few thousand years, and with breathtaking speed. We could go back to ice-age temperatures within a decade — and judging from recent discoveries, an abrupt cooling could be triggered by our current global-warming trend. Europe’s climate could become more like Siberia’s. Because such a cooling would occur too quickly for us to make readjustments in agricultural productivity and supply, it would be a potentially civilization-shattering affair, likely to cause an unprecedented population crash. What paleoclimate and oceanography researchers know of the mechanisms underlying such a climate flip suggests that global warming could start one in several different ways.
      .
      For a quarter century global-warming theorists have predicted that climate creep is going to occur and that we need to prevent greenhouse gases from warming things up, thereby raising the sea level, destroying habitats, intensifying storms, and forcing agricultural rearrangements. Now we know — and from an entirely different group of scientists exploring separate lines of reasoning and data — that the most catastrophic result of global warming could be an abrupt cooling.

  6. Kevin Moore September 9, 2013 at 1:07 pm #

    http://english.pravda.ru//opinion/columnists/04-01-2013/123380-global_warming-0/
    http://english.pravda.ru/opinion/columnists/04-01-2013/123380-global_warming-0/#
    .
    Global warming, the tool of the West
    .
    By Stanislav Mishin
    .
    “For years, the Elites of the West have cranked up the myth of Man Made Global Warming as a means first and foremost to control the lives and behaviors of their populations. Knowing full well that their produce in China and sell in the West model and its consequent spiral downward in wages and thus standards of living, was unsustainable, the elites moved to use this
    new “science” to guilt trip and scare monger their populations into smaller and more conservatives forms of living. In other words, they coasted them into the poverty that the greed and treason of those said same elites was already creating in their native lands.
    .
    “What better way to staunch protests at worsening economic and life conditions than to make it feel like an honourable job/duty of the people to save “Gaia”. At the same time, they used this “science” as a new pagan religion to further push out the Christianity they hate and despise and most of all, fear. Gaia worship, the earth “mother”, has been pushed in popular culture oozing out of the West for a better part of the past 1.5 decades. This is a religion replete with an army of priests, called Government Grant Scientists
    .
    “Various groups have fought back. This includes Russian hackers, who published a huge database of UK government, scientific and university emails depicting the fixing of data to sell Global Warming, er Climate Change (as if it never changed on its own). And while taking hit after hit, the beast, like Al Qaida, will not die. As a matter of fact, the beast is on a steady come back, as it is quite useful during the down times recession. The US alone spends $7 billion each year on warming “studies”, which is, in truth, nothing but a huge money laundering operation, as no real science is conducted and vapid alarmist reports the only product generated……………………”

  7. bushbunny September 9, 2013 at 2:19 pm #

    Well sea ice comes and goes, first noticed in 1957 when the Americans used a nuclear sub to negotiate under the ice cover, and the blue patches were rare. But they noticed little sea life existed where the ice had been because of a layer of fresh water didn’t support them. To blame sea ice melting on global warming is risky, as sea ice melts and recovers all the time. And the arctic has no land at the poles, unlike the antarctic. It just is a scam for the bankers and traders in carbon credits. And those third world countries who hope to gain from the 660 million Australia gives to the UN Climate change fund hoping to pay for it from the carbon tax.

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