Tag Archives: IMF

Papabile Front-runner Wants A Global Bank

12 Feb

According to the betting markets, the papabile front-runner to replace Pope Benedict and so become “Peter the Roman” – aka the Last Pope – is Cardinal Peter Turkson.

Cardinal_Peter_Kodwo_57006c

Cardinal Turkson wants to reform the international financial system.

How?

By the creation of a Global Public Authority and a Global Bank:

The Vatican called on Monday for the establishment of a “global public authority” and a “central world bank” to rule over financial institutions that have become outdated and often ineffective in dealing fairly with crises.

The wet dream of every one world ruler aspirant.

Oh dear.

Why Swan’s Appeal To IMF Forecasts Is An Argumentum Ad Verecundiam

19 Apr

Argumentum ad verecundiam.

Appeal to authority.

A logical fallacy.

One widely popularised by warmageddonists, who have never conscientiously considered the simple truth spoken by Nobel prize-winning physicist Richard Feynman:

“Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts”

In recent days, Wayne Swan has once again been loudly touting the latest IMF forecasts. He wants you to believe that what the IMF says, is somehow proof that the Australian economy under his management is doing great, and will do even better in 2012-13.

But there is a very interesting, little known fact about the way in which IMF forecasts are put together. One that every citizen should be aware of.

Here is the Unconventional Economist Leith van Onselen, who has previously worked for the Australian and Victorian Treasury departments:

Click to enlarge

So, pointing to an IMF forecast is really nothing more than a deceitful  argumentum ad verecundiam put forward by dishonest politicians, who negotiate with the “authority” they appeal to concerning what that authority’s report/forecast will actually say!

Indeed, one only need read the latest IMF report to see that its forecasts for Australian growth are really nothing more than parroting of the government’s own wildly optimistic budget forecasts:

Click to enlarge

Remember this little piece of information.

Tuck it away near the front of your mind.

Ready and waiting for the next time you hear Wayne … or any politician … or journalist … appealing to a “report” by some Higher Authority like the IMF, or the World Bank, or the UN.

IMF Gives Goose His Cue To Lay Their Golden Egg

16 Dec

It’s not that Wayne needs much convincing to create more debt.

One need only look at the epic, world-beating rise in Australia’s public debt under The Goose, using the GFC as the excuse.

Now, just when he might be beginning to run out of excuses, here comes the IMF with the cue Wayne needs:

IMF boss says no country in the world is immune from the crisis and all must take steps to boost growth, with risks of inaction including ‘isolation and other elements reminiscent of the 1930s depression’.

Regular readers know that the IMF has decades of ‘form’.

It will always call for nations to “stimulate” growth. Why? The deeper in debt, the sooner the IMF is called in to “bail out”.

Taking the nation’s infrastructure (airports, highways, ports, railways, telecomms, electricity grids, etc) as collateral.

And, the nation’s sovereignty.

Wayne is just the Goose to lay the IMF’s golden egg.

Another Government Raid On Citizens’ Super

5 Dec

Yet another government has joined the ever-growing list of those stealing their citizens’ super to plug holes in their budgets:

Portugal has raided €5.6bn (£4.8bn) of pension fund assets in a controversial scramble to meet its deficit targets.

The cabinet agreed to transfer the assets from four of Portugal’s biggest banks to the state balance sheet.

The assets will be used to bridge a gap needed to meet the fiscal deficit target of 5.9pc of GDP set by the terms of the country’s €78bn bail-out from around 10pc in 2010.

“This measure is more than sufficient to meet the budget deficit goal in 2011,” said Helder Rosalino, secretary of state for central administration, on Friday.

Portugal said it had informed the EU and IMF and assured them it would be a “one-off”. However the 2010 budget was met by shifting three pension plans from Portugal Telecom on to the public social security system. The liabilities don’t count, yet.

What is particularly noteworthy, is that this blatant theft of Portuguese citizens’ superannuation is being done in order to meet an IMF-imposed deficit reduction target.

Just like Ireland earlier this year, when it too was ‘forced’ to raid its citizens’ super.

Your humble blogger has been documenting the wave of largely unreported super thefts that has been rolling around the world since the GFC began in 2007-08.

And warning that Australia’s politicians are already firmly on track to do the same here as well.

Indeed, the Green-Labor government has already quietly introduced a new policy directing your employer to send your future super payments to the ATO.

A sneaky policy neatly stolen from the Liberal Party.

No need to wonder why both “sides” of Australian politics want to increase the super rate from 9% to 12%.

To glimpse the truth – that government theft-by-stealth of your super is inevitable here too – all you need do is look at our ever-rising debt trajectory …

Commonwealth Government Securities On Issue | Source: Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM)

… note that Wayne’s latest budget update predicts a 57% blowout in net debt this year alone, observe the ‘slow-motion train wreck’ occurring in the global economy as a consequence of massive over-indebtedness in the USA, UK, Europe, and China, and above all, remember that our government is on the hook to bail out our Too Big To Fail ponzi banks.

Just like everyone else.

The list of countries that have already stolen citizens’ super to finance government spending, includes some that won’t surprise you (Argentina, Bolivia, Hungary, Ireland, and more), and others that might shock you (USA, UK, France).

If you have not familiarised yourself with the ever-growing global trend of government theft of citizens’ super, and especially the evidence that the first steps have already begun here too, then I urge you to read some of my many previous articles on this topic:

It Has Begun – Labor Steals Liberal’s Idea To Steal Your Super

Labor Begins To Steal Your Super

Stealing Our Super – I DARE You To Ignore This Now

Now The UK Government Is Stealing Super Too

RBA Says Our Banks Are Stuffed … In Other Words

Our Banks Racing Towards A “Bigger Armageddon”

Why They Are Planning To Steal Our Super, Explained In 4 Simple Charts

Fresh Evidence Our Banks In “Race To The Bottom” Means You Can Kiss Your Super Goodbye

No Super For You!!

“Grand Theft Pēnsiō – Europe’s ‘Economic Superstar’ Steals 5% Of Private Super Funds”

A very wise man said long ago, that “the borrower is the servant to the lender”.

Thanks to our foolish willingness to accept the Big Lie that debt is a “necessary evil” (it’s not), not just citizens, but entire nations, are now rendered servants to obey.

Slaves to bankers.

Gillard Offers Borrowed Money To Bail Out Europe

3 Nov

Ummmm. About our $250 Billion debt ceiling.

I wrote only yesterday that we are on track to hit it by mid-2012. Unless something went pear-shaped first.

I was right. Something has gone pear-shaped.

The rationality of Australia’s ruling politicians:

Julia Gillard has offered extra cash for the International Monetary Fund to help prop up the ailing European economy and prevent another global financial crisis.

The prime minister made the offer as she arrived in France in the middle of a worsening European financial crisis that is set to dominate the Group of 20 nations meeting this week, The Courier-Mail reported.

“For Australia’s part, we stand ready for an increase in IMF resources,” Ms Gillard said after arriving in Cannes.

“We”? Who’s “we” Julia?

Oh I see. “We” means our unrepresentative overlords in “Canberra” (h/t Wall Street Journal):

Australia’s Prime Minister Julia Gillard arrives in Cannes on a mission — she wants fellow G-20 governments to give more cash to the International Monetary Fund to help it deal with Europe’s crisis.

“I will be raising the need to increase IMF resourcing, both at the G20 meeting itself, and at my bilateral meetings, starting today at my bilateral meeting with the President of Brazil,” Gillard tells reporters on her arrival in Cannes.

Canberra has been a vocal advocate of the need to boost the IMF’s resources. The government has one of the developed world’s strongest sovereign balance sheets so is in a good position to donate more cash.

A “good position” to donate more cash!?!

“Good” compared to who, exactly? Greece? The USA? Zimbabwe?

Of course, silly me.

We only have a record budget deficit.

An economy that only survived the GFC solely on the back of China’s massive money-printing “stimulus”:

… that created a temporary artificial demand for our iron ore and coal – a demand that is now slumping:

Steel China Iron Ore Fines cfr main China port USD/dry metric tonne (MBFOFO01:IND)

Canberra is only borrowing money from foreigners at a record rate to fund Green-Labor’s insane spending … an extra $7 billion per month borrowed through September and October.

And doing favours for foreigners … and foreign banks … assures politicians of a life of ease and comfort upon retiring or being kicked out of office.

So “sure thing” Julia.

You are in a great position to throw bad money (borrowed) after even worse money (insolvent PIIGS).

Let us be perfectly clear, dear reader.

Europe is stuffed. Totally and utterly stuffed.

As is the USA. The UK. Indeed, as is the entire Western world’s financial system.

You simply can not fix a debt problem, by borrowing more money.

History bares witness time and time again, that the so-called “rescue” packages that globalist entities like the IMF offer to over-indebted nations, are no rescue at all.

In exchange for a non-solution – some “free” money, and “better” terms of repayment on existing debts owed – the IMF takes ownership over national infrastructure (ports, railways, toll roads, electricity grids, airports, etc) as collateral … and, effectively takes over dictating the national budget. Hence, “austerity measures”.

It’s called “asset stripping” and “loss of sovereignty”.

The IMF is evil.

And it is beyond appalling to this blogger, that we have reached such a low point in the governance of Australia .. egged on by the general apathy of our citizens … that we now have a minority government that not only blatantly lies to and ignores the will of its people (carbon tax).

It is a government that is so totally beholden to the World Government aspirations of the Green ecoloons, that it would offer to give borrowed money to the IMF, in order to aid and abet their stripping yet another nation of its assets and sovereignty:

Make no mistake, dear reader.

By taking Australia ever deeper into record debt, this government is fast-tracking our nation into the arms of the IMF, World Bank, and other assorted power-crazed “We want to rule the world” lunatics.

Click to enlarge | Source: Australian Office of Financial Management (AOFM)

It could not be clearer where we are headed.

Can’t see it?

Don’t want to believe it?

It’s time to take the Red Pill.

The Matrix: "You take the blue pill – the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill – you stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit-hole goes." - Morpheus

And You Thought Europe’s Banks Were In Trouble

22 Aug

You may or may not be aware that a big reason behind the current market turmoil, is Europe’s banks. French and Italian banks in particular have been the focus of attention in the past fortnight.

But the problems with banks are not confined to Europe. Consider what one of the best financial blogs in the world had to say recently about the banks of a nation whose economy is disturbingly similar to ours (from Zero Hedge):

Is the next domino to fall … Canada?

While two short months ago, “nobody” had any idea that Italy’s banks were on the verge of insolvency, despite that the information was staring them in the face (or was being explicitly cautioned at by Zero Hedge days before Italian CDS blew out and Intesa became the whipping boy of the evil shorts), by now this is common knowledge and is the direct reason for why the FTSE MIB has two choices on a daily basis: break… or halt constituent stocks indefinitely. That this weakness is now spreading to France and other European countries is also all too clear. After all, if one were to be told that a bank has a Tangible Common Equity ratio of under 2%, the logical response would be that said bank is a goner. Yet both Credit Agricole and Deutsche Bank are precisely there (1.41% and 1.92% respectively), and both happen to have total “assets” which amount to roughly the size of their host country GDPs, ergo why Europe can not allow its insolvent banks to face reality or the world would end (at least in the immortal stuttered words of one Hank Paulson). So yes, we know that both French and soon German CDS will be far, far wider as the idiotic market finally grasps what we have been saying for two years: that you can’t have your cake and eat it, or said otherwise, that when you onboard corporate risk to the sovereign, someone has to pay the piper. Yet there is one place where that has not happened so far; there is one place that has been very much insulated from the whipping of the market, and one place where banks are potentially in just as bad a shape as anywhere else in Europe. That place is…. Canada.

As the chart below shows, which is a ranking of global banks by tangible common equity, lowest first, of the banks with a TCE ratio of under ~4% a whopping 30% are those situated in Canada, the same place where nobody thinks anything can go wrong, and which has been completely spared from the retribution of the bond vigilantes. Something tells us Canadian sovereign CDS, not to mention Canadian bank CDS, are both about to go quite a bit wider.

How do Australia’s banks rate on the Tangible Common Equity (TCE) scale?

Better.

But not that much better.

Take note, dear reader. Here we are about to see a classic example of how our Treasurer wilfully cherry-picks from International Monetary Fund reports.

Here’s what The Goose recently had to say about the IMF’s latest report:

The IMF has just completed a regular review of Australia’s finances.

The Treasurer, Wayne Swan, reported the results.

He said the IMF had noted “our resilient financial system.”

“Australia’s banks are well capitalised, prudently managed, and among the highest-rated in the world,” Mr Swan said.

“The IMF notes that banks have improved their capital positions and reduced their reliance on short-term foreign funding, and that they are well placed to ride out any future financial turbulence in offshore markets,” he added.

Wayne has, as usual, gilded the lily, and put words in the mouth of the “authorities” he quotes.

And, he just “happened” to conveniently forget what else the IMF wrote (emphasis added):

17. Bank profits have recovered and the return on equity for the major banks is now around pre-crisis levels. Capital adequacy has improved, driven both by increases in capital and declines in risk-weighted assets. Common equity as a share of tangible assets has also risen to nearly 5 percent for the four large banks

Oops.

A TCE of “nearly 5%” is not exactly streets ahead of the Canadian banks. Moreover, “nearly 5%” is actually worse than the 5.42% TCE of Italian bank Intesa Sanpaolo (see ZH chart above), whose shares have been under attack and subject to multiple trading halts in the last fortnight to save it from collapse.

18. Challenges remain, however. Banks may be tempted to take on riskier strategies in an environment of structurally lower credit growth. Household debt remains high (150 percent of disposable income) and a rise in mortgage rates could lead to an increase in bad loans, although current arrears are modest. While we recognize improvements in the composition of banks’ funding structure, their sizable short-term external borrowing still remains a risk. In addition, concentration in the banking sector has increased in the wake of the crisis with the assets of the four large banks now comprising about 75 percent of total bank assets…

Oops.

We have already seen recently, that “riskier trading strategies” is exactly what our banks have been engaged in ( “Fresh Evidence Our Banks In ‘Race To The Bottom’ Means You Can Kiss Your Super Goodbye” ).

21. While banks have reduced their reliance on short-term external borrowing, disruptions in global capital markets could still put pressure on their funding. Therefore, banks should be encouraged to further reduce their short-term borrowing.

Oops.

This reliance on short-term funding is a key reason why Moodys ratings agency downgraded our banks’ credit ratings in May, and warned the govrnment that it must maintain the government guarantee else they will be downgraded further.

And, it is why Fitch Ratings considers Australia’s banks “most exposed” to the European debt crisis.

Funny … I don’t recall hearing Wayne mention any of that.

Do you?

Keating Was Right – US Treasury Secretary A “Gigantic Fool”

6 Aug

US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, in April 2011:

Interviewer (1st question): Is there a risk that the United States could lose its AAA credit rating? Yes or no?

Geithner: No risk of that.

Interviewer: No risk?

Geithner: No risk.

This is the chap who our own Paul Keating aptly described as a “gigantic fool” over his bungling of the Asian Crisis in the late 90’s in his then role as Treasury line officer at the genocidal bankster racketeers, the International Monetary Fund.

The same IMF that our Wayne likes to selectively quote … but only when what they say fits with his latest line of BS.

‘Nuff said about the competence of Geithner.

Who is our Treasury secretary, dear reader?

Be afraid.

Be very afraid.

Learn all about our new Treasury secretary, Martin Parkinson, here –

Our New Treasury Secretary Is America’s Mini-Me

By the way.

Keating’s no dummy.

Read what he predicted back in March 2010.

He was absolutely bang on the money –

Global Turmoil Looms: Keating

Still Pointing To The IMF’s Opinion Now, Wayne?

24 Jul

Remember when Treasurer Swan repeatedly pointed to cherry-picked comments by the IMF, as though they should somehow be construed as proof of Labor’s economic management throught the GFC?

In light of his government’s/the Treasury’s “truly extraordinary” assumptions underlying the “stratospheric” growth forecasts in the May budget, any bets that Wayne won’t be pointing out what the IMF is saying now, about China’s darkening economic prospects?

From Dow Jones Newswires via the Australian (emphasis added):

China’s manufacturing sector shrinks, HSBC’s preliminary PMI survey signals

HSBC’S preliminary survey of China’s factories indicated manufacturing activity in the world’s second-biggest economy in July declined from last month, the first such contraction in a year.

The survey comes at a time when various economic indicators in China are pointing in different directions, leaving market participants unsure if they should be more concerned about slowing growth or high inflation.

The International Monetary Fund released its annual review of China today, warning that inflation, real-estate bubbles and weak monetary controls pose “significant risks to financial and macroeconomic stability” in the world’s second-biggest economy.

“Significant risks” to the financial and economic stability of the nation whose massive, regional “shadow-banking” credit-fuelled “stimulus” in the GFC was almost solely responsible for our not following after the USA, UK, and Europe.

I think that I can safely guarantee that you won’t be hearing Wayne trumpet that comment from the IMF.

The People’s NWO: Every Man His Own Central Banker

7 Jul

** 7 October 2014:  The concept described in the following essay has since been developed further — visit beta website deror.org for more information.

“To radically shift regime behavior we must think clearly and boldly for if we have learned anything, it is that regimes do not want to be changed. We must think beyond those who have gone before us and discover technological changes that embolden us with ways to act in which our forebears could not.”

– Julian Assange, Conspiracy As Governance (2006)

There is nothing more dangerous than personal initiative: if it has genius behind it, such initiative can do more than can be done by millions of people among whom we have sown discord.

– Protocol V

Are you seeking profit, or protection from the storm?  This is not for you.  Are you here because misery loves company, or to impress with wit?  This is not for you.

This is written for those who have moved to a place beyond fear, and preservation.  Beyond greed, and accumulation.  This is for those who have moved beyond, to a place the Sovereign Man knows not of.

It is the place where un-selfish thoughts roam freely; where the forces of greed and fear are “not of this world”.

If you are seeking comfort in confirmation of existing ideas and beliefs, then I encourage you to look elsewhere.  Here you may be challenged to reconsider.  To research and study.  To think outside the square.  And to take uncommon action.

In the introduction to the movie V For Vendetta, we are reminded that “an idea can still change the world”.  I will share my idea to change the world with you today.  I hope you may have an even better one.

First, an apology.  The basis of my idea challenges common precepts that you may hold as gospel truth.  In the interests of brevity I cannot author a supporting thesis.  So I encourage you to simply adopt a certain mind-flex; to entertain the underlying rationale for the moment, in order to consider the main idea in context.

My idea will particularly challenge those who conflate the concept of a “currency” with a “store of value”.  We have been trained to do this.  We have been taught to identify both of these different concepts, with the singular label of “money”.  This is the first and greatest delusion to be overcome.  If “money” is ever to be made a servant of mankind, and not continue to be his master, then we must begin by taking great care to distinguish clearly between “money” as “store of value”, and “money” as “currency”.

A “store of value” can be anything real, tangible, and (in relative, human lifetime terms) lasting.  Gold, silver, some art, property, gemstones, all these and more may be considered a store of value.

A “currency”, by contrast, should serve only as oil for the wheels of the economy.  To aid the proper, efficient, and right moral function of commerce and industry, in its pivotal role within civilised human society.  To achieve this, our chosen form of currency should have no intrinsic value whatsoever.  Moreover, in the interests of true social justice, the ideal form of currency should be destroyed at a modest, fixed annual rate.  Why?

For an in-depth understanding of the answer, I encourage you to read up on the concept of Freigeld (“Free Money”), as elaborated in the Natural Economic Order by Silvio Gesell.  Before rushing to dismiss this little known genius as some kind of crackpot, you may first wish to consider carefully the profound success of Gesell’s demurrage currency concept during the Great Depression.  The Miracle of Wörgl, Austria is an excellent example.  You will also discover how this alternative monetary “experiment” was promptly shut down; tellingly, at the behest of the Austrian Central Bank.  And how American economist Irving Fisher unsuccessfully petitioned Roosevelt to implement a similar monetary system, as a solution to America’s woes in the Great Depression.

The reason why a demurrage currency is essential for true social justice is this:  The product of labour – the sweat and effort of ordinary people – is subject to the natural laws of entropy.  The farmer’s produce spoils. The manufacturer’s product too has a “shelf life”.  It deteriorates, or is superseded.  The product of labour is compelled by the natural laws of entropy to find a buyer promptly.  If it does not, the producer – who has no personal use for surplus – inevitably suffers loss.  He wears the “carrying cost” of deteriorating product if it remains unsold.

The possessor of currency, by contrast, has an unfair advantage, if his currency is not likewise subject to entropy.  Simply by means of the unspoken threat to “shut his wallet” and withdraw temporarily from the marketplace, taking his non-deteriorating currency with him, he may force the producer – compelled as he is by the law of entropy – to lower the price of his ever-deteriorating goods.

This is the inevitable – and inequitable – consequence of adopting a form of currency that can also be perceived as a “store of value”.  The Supplier of currency (the buyer) is granted an unjust and unfair power over the Demander of currency (the producer/seller).  The very form of currency itself naturally encourages its possessor to mistreat and humiliate his fellow man, by taking advantage of the relative weakness of his bargaining position.  And arguably worst of all, the one who is disadvantaged is the producer of goods.  The engine, the very heart and soul of commerce and industry.  Simply by virtue of the possessor choosing to “save” his currency – since he also perceives it as a “store of value” – the  producer is forced by necessity to continually and ever more urgently lower the asking price for his goods, until the point at which the possessor becomes willing to enter the marketplace and buy.  While many may see this as “good business” or “driving a hard bargain”, it is hardly “to love thy neighbour as thyself”.

In the people’s NWO economy, there will never be a shortage of oil for the wheels of commerce.  Neither will there be an excess.  As with your car, too little and too much oil both are highly damaging.  One starves the engine of lubricant until the mechanism seizes.  The other causes a build up of excessive pressures, until the weakest part blows.

If you will accept this basic premise concerning a “natural currency” – even just for entertainment purposes for now – then the rationale for my idea will follow.

Before introducing it however, a disclaimer for context.  I am vehemently anti debt, and anti usury.  Since early this century, a significant proportion of my own modest material net “worth” has been in physical gold and silver bullion.  Stored beyond the reach of the banking system.  Yet, this choice is predicated by external circumstance, and not by ideology.  My research leads me to conclude that gold and silver “bugs”, “sound money” advocates, and “Constitutional money” proponents, are all most subtly, yet most profoundly, deceived.  There is a very logical and ancient reason why ancient occult (secret) society symbology is a persistent feature of the founding relics of the USA, of Washington DC, and indeed, of the Federal Reserve Note.  To return to a precious metal standard would achieve nothing more than to take one small step backwards – straight into the previous stage of the monetary trap laid for humanity by “the powers that be” (TPTB) over many centuries.

I believe that the current system will collapse.  By accident, or by design.  Waiting for it, and scheming/hoping to profit during or after the collapse, is a fool’s game.  Those who pull all the monetary strings, who have this exclusive “money issuance” power over us now, will have it then too.  Only more so.  Because whatever system is suggested by the authorities to replace the present one, you may rest assured that it will be their system.  Of their design.  For their benefit.  Ordo ab chaoOrder out of Chaos.

Unless We The People beat them to it.  By introducing our own monetary system.  Not by waiting on “democracy” so-called.  By exercising our “dangerous” personal initiative.

My idea for a new monetary system, to undermine and ultimately take over from the collapsing present order, is simple.  Build a complementary currency system.  Starting right now.  One where you, me, and every participant assumes the basic human right to become their own central banker.

After all, if it’s ok for a tiny minority to create their own currency out of thin air – and then enslave us for the privilege of using it – then what is to stop all of us – the great majority – from simply going out and doing exactly the same thing … but with un-selfish intentions?

Here’s how I picture NEO – a Natural Economic Order for the digital age, and a true people’s currency.  Imagine some genius has exercised personal initiative, and created an encrypted software program that you can download.  It functions using peer-to-peer networks (thus, that much more difficult for TPTB to close down).  Let’s imagine that it is called “Jubileeus”.

The Creator.

And the Deliverer from debt slavery.

Using this program, you can create your own digital currency, right out of thin air.  Just like the central banksters.  There’s no cost.  No fees.  No interest charged.  Ever.  But (unlike the banksters’ system) there are encrypted, pre-programmed limits and conditions.  To ensure the system is functionally stable, and socially just.  And most importantly, to encourage right behaviours that are conducive to a stable, just, and equitable society.

You choose the initial amount you wish to create.  This will be your positive bank balance, denominated in “Jubileeus” currency.  When you create new currency, you will automatically have a second, linked account too – showing a negative balance, in the same amount.  That’s because you have taken up the solemn privilege – a future Human Right – of creating your own “credit” for yourself.  In other words, you “borrowed” currency out of thin air, to aid your dealings in the marketplace.  But that’s ok.  Everyone should have appropriate access to (not free “money” but) free currency.  So that everyone is empowered to contribute equally to oiling the wheels of commerce and industry.

In most respects, this currency system functions just like the familiar cash transaction (ie, positive credit) and loan accounts that you might have with your local bank.  Spending your Jubileeus to purchase goods and services will decrease your positive bank balance towards zero, just as you would expect.  When you sell something, or otherwise earn more Jubileeus, there is a subtle difference though.  You do not have a choice to not pay down your negative (“loan”) balance first.  Why?  The system designer believed it best to encourage people to learn to reduce their negatives, before giving thought to increasing their positives.  So any Jubileeus received automatically pays down your negative balance first, reducing it towards zero, rather than simply increasing your positive balance.  Having any income automatically applied in full to your “loan” account first, will create no hardship for anyone – if you are ever short of currency in your positive (“credit”) balance to pay the bills or buy groceries, you simply “borrow” (ie, create) some more currency.

I suspect that there are “sound money” advocates screaming about now, that such a system is ignorant, insane, and doomed to failure.  For many there will be an automatic negative emotive response, because even this kernel of the idea instantly evokes the spectre of free, unlimited “money” supply, and fears of hyperinflation.  Doubtless some will be recalling the many historical incidents of excessive currency issuance by spendthrift dictators and politicians, and recoiling in horror or laughing in derision.  Patience, friend.  Your fears will be addressed by the end.

Two points to consider.  First, the fact of excessive currency issuance in the past does not logically necessitate tying currency issuance to physical commodities (eg, gold/silver).  In point of fact, doing precisely this has been the first stage tactic employed by TPTB over many centuries for gaining control over kings and peoples.  Linking currency issuance to a physical commodity does not limit your ability to expand or contract the total of available currency, if you already control the stocks, and/or the supply, and/or the  public reporting of reserves of that particular commodity.  On the contrary, encouraging, coercing, and/or bribing kings and politicians to pass laws linking currency issuance to a commodity that you already control, actually increases your ability to manipulate the currency irresponsibly, fraudulently, or indeed, nefariously.  It provides another layer of deception. Another curtain behind which to hide, while you pull the levers of power.

Secondly, you are quite correct.  Excessive currency issuance is indeed a real danger to be avoided.  Too much oil in the car eventually blows up the engine. The question is, How to avoid it?  Historical precedent suggests that the real challenge lies not only in the form of currency chosen, but also in the matter of Who has power to control its issuance.

Our “people’s currency” could address this danger simply and effectively, by way of a built-in, automated Honour rating system.  Don’t laugh.  I’m serious.

Let’s imagine again.  You’ve downloaded the Jubileeus software.  You decide to create an initial “loan” to yourself of 50,000 Jubileeus.  You now have a positive “credit” balance of 50,000, and a negative “loan” balance of 50,000.  The system automatically flags your account with a publicly visible Honour rating.  Of just 50%.

Every time you conduct a peer-to-peer transaction with another participant, they can see your Honour rating before proceeding.  And just as with eBay’s feedback system, some will decline to trade with you if they have doubts about your character, integrity, and indeed, your honour, as implied by your Honour rating.  In the people’s NWO of the future, in light of our experiences of the terrible outcome of permissive attitudes to financial corruption, immorality, selfishness and fraud, I suspect that any question mark over your financial “honour” will weigh far more heavily on others’ thoughts and social consciences than we have seen in recent decades.  Having an Honour rating of xx% or worse may result in your becoming a pariah in a society that has, through great pain and suffering, come to see the value of a strong social conscience.

The automated Honour rating system therefore encourages you to carefully consider whether you really need 50,000 Jubileeus.  After all, are you really going to spend it all now?  Since you can create currency for yourself whenever you need it, perhaps it is wiser to just create an initial balance of 5,000 Jubileeus.  And have a 95% Honour rating instead.

How do you improve your Honour rating?  Go out and work.  Create something.  Build something.  Sell something.  Ask for payment in Jubileeus.  After all, every other guy can also create new Jubileeus to pay you with.  (Just as in Wörgl, Austria, how rapidly might Depression-level unemployment rates fall towards zero, if everyone had access to a free people’s currency such as this?)  As you earn more “money” currency, your negative balance is automatically reduced, ever nearer to that perfect zero point.  And your Honour rating improves accordingly.

The zero point is perfect?  Yes.  Having zero represents the perfect moral and social position on personal use of free currency.  And the only way to have a 100% Honour rating, is to have a zero bank balance.

Just because you may completely pay down your previous (interest-free) “loan” balance – or, perhaps you never needed one – this does not mean that it is ok to start hoarding currency.  It is the oil on the wheels of commerce, and is supposed to constantly circulate, remember?  By hoarding currency, you are indulging in anti-social behaviours.  You could and should be passing currency ever onwards, in exchange for the fruits of others labour, thus doing your part to provide employment and opportunity for all your fellow men.  If you truly have no need or desire for more of others products or services right now, then you could and should be investing for the longer term. Perhaps in dividend-paying shares in a sound and ethical public (or private) company.  Or, perhaps simply in a true “store of value”.

So in the same manner as a negative balance, a positive balance is also penalised automatically with a reduced Honour rating.  Should there be a difference between your positive (“credit”) balance and negative (“loan”) balance, then the Honour rating is based on the larger – thus the “worst” – of the two balances.  For example, if you have 10,000 in positive, along with a 5,000 negative balance, your Honour rating will be 90%.  Not 95%.  But pay off your 5,000 negative “loan” balance with 5,000 from your positive “credit” balance, and you will be rewarded with that 95% Honour rating.

Finally, what about the demurrage aspect?  Recall that our basic premise is that the ideal “people’s currency” should be designed to automatically deteriorate if not used to conduct transactions.  Gesell’s original innovation of applying a “carrying cost” to currency – hence Stamp Scrip – is the primary means to encourage proactive circulation of currency rather than hoarding.  (My Honour rating idea is supplemental, but importantly, it also serves to discourage greed in the initial act of creating new currency by appealing directly to our sense of public reputation, personal integrity, and self-worth).

How do you make a purely electronic currency deteriorate?  I imagine some genius out there could simply pre-programme the software to automatically reduce all account balances – positive and negative – towards zero by a fixed percentage, calculated weekly and summed since last log-on.  How much should this fixed percentage be?  Gesell advocated an annual “carrying cost” rate for currency of 5.2%, or 1/10th of 1% per week.  I have no idea if this is an appropriate figure – though it would appear that it certainly worked a treat in Austria until the banksters had it shut down.  Perhaps some free-thinking economist (oxymoron?) will read this, and be interested enough to research and offer advice.

Once again, the system encourages you to use your Jubileeus.  If you have it and don’t use it, it slowly but surely fades away.  Back towards the zero point.

Such a system not only encourages productivity (ie, hard work).  It encourages creativity and innovation (ie, what new product can I make? what new service can I offer?).

It eliminates poverty. No one need ever again have insufficient “money” to purchase the basic necessities of life, when every person is their own central banker.

It also applies natural limits to global “growth”.  And thus, to the impacts on our environment and natural resources.

Under a Jubileeus system, no longer are there cabals of greedy banksters’ creating endless “credit” – at interest – in order to finance the Ponzi scheme of “capitalist” perpetual economic growth. And enslaving humanity to debt servitude in the process.

Instead, Jubileeus means that “growth” is naturally limited by the total number of human beings on the planet, multiplied by the sum of their collective willingness to “Honour” each others’ Jubileeus. Not only are there pre-programmed rules on the amount of currency that an individual can create. There is also a natural limit on how much public “disHonour” that people are willing to take upon themselves by creating more currency than they actually need at any time. And, there is a natural limit on how much “disHonour” that people are willing to accept in others, when choosing whether or not to buy or sell with other individuals.

Jubileeus means a true declaration of individual independence from those who control each and every one of us, through their exclusive control over the creation, and issuance, of  “money”.

Jubileeus means that every day, is independents’ day.

There you have it.  That’s my Big Idea.  I hope it inspires you to think about what is really happening to us all, and what (if anything) you are going to do about it.

For my part, I look forward to reading your thoughts, constructive criticisms, and insights.  Because I’d like to do something more than just ponder all this.  I’d welcome contacts from any who may be of like mind, and wish to get involved in a real project to bring this idea – or something better – to fruition.  Truth be told, I have the time and motivation, but lack the necessary technical skills to realise this alone.

I’d also welcome feedback from anyone who may be inspired to independently try something similar.

There’s plenty of alternative currency ideas out there – the Ripple Project, and more prominently Bitcoin, are two that spring to mind.

There’s also free-spirited genius software developers such as “Jaromil“, who has developed a tool that allows you to connect your computer with your neighbours – essentially bypassing the telecomms infrastructure – using the wireless card in computers and creating an effective “new net.”

Just imagine the revolutionary power of such brilliantly simple low-technology – combined with any number of possible hardware solutions such as One Laptop Per Child, or even just reuse of abundant, “redundant”, discarded-but-functional Western consumer PC hardware – in helping every human being worldwide, especially in developing nations, to each become their own central banker too.

Imagine too, the effect of such a system on human relations and solidarity. In Jaromil’s Dyne:Bolic example, you become reliant on your neighbour to break out into the network.  Inherent in this system is the expression of “love thy neighbour” – we must share, before we can benefit. Imagine how we would all feel about our neighbours, if they were the only way we could connect to (and buy-sell with) the rest of the world.

There’s also the grassroots network of hackers at ‘digital foundry’ dyne.org, and the researchers and developers at dyndy.net. These are all doing sterling work as they “Imagine the Future of Money”.

Unfortunately, in the words of Henry David Thoreau, “There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil for every one striking at the root”.  My research suggests to me that all the complementary currency systems currently out there are flawed in key aspects, and so represent a less-than-ideal solution if we are to have a sustainable, tamper-proof, boom-and-bust proof, truly egalitarian system of free “money” to serve the human race.  But that’s just my viewpoint, and I wish everyone the best who may have a mind to try setting up a new and better currency in competition with TPTB.

The system that I have proposed here, a “mutual company” so to speak, or a “commonwealth of stewardship”,  represents a singular threat to the #1 weapon which those who would continue to reign over us possess.

Fear.

Their current plan to address the fear of global systemic banking risk – a fear which they have created through control of the boom-and-bust “cycle”, of which the GFC is only the most recent example – is to divorce the transactional currency system from the store of wealth system.

This is precisely what my idea would achieve … without the centralised control.

Mervyn King, Governor of the Bank of England, gave a speech at the Buttonwood Gathering in New York on October 25, 2010. His speech was titled “Banking: From Bagehot to Basel, and Back Again.”

Here’s an excerpt from the speech (emphasis added)*:

Another avenue of reform is some form of functional separation. The Volcker Rule is one example. Another, more fundamental, example would be to divorce the payment system from risky lending activity – that is to prevent fractional reserve banking (for example, as proposed by Fisher, 1936, Friedman, 1960, Tobin, 1987 and more recently by Kay, 2009).

In essence these proposals recognise that if banks undertake risky activities then it is highly dangerous to allow such “gambling” to take place on the same balance sheet as is used to support the payments system, and other crucial parts of the financial infrastructure. And eliminating fractional reserve banking explicitly recognises that the pretence that risk-free deposits can be supported by risky assets is alchemy. If there is a need for genuinely safe deposits the only way they can be provided, while ensuring costs and benefits are fully aligned, is to insist such deposits do not coexist with risky assets.

Straight from the mouth of Bank of England Governor, Mervyn King. Separating the “store of value” system, from the “currency” system. In its effect, precisely what the system I propose would achieve.

But with the banksters still in control of both systems.

Unless We The People beat them to it.

But first, we need to wake up.

We need to understand the true and proper nature of “money”, and “currency”. So that we are not hoodwinked by the next stage of the global bankster scam.

Many are aware of the evils of “fractional reserve banking”. And it is these who will be the first to sing “Hallelujah!” and fall for the trap, when TPTB suggest doing away with fractional reserve banking as a “solution” to the global systemic banking crisis that they have created.

The only way that “money” can truly be rendered a servant to mankind, is with a decentralised system.

One that no one controls. And every one shares.

A “Natural Economic Order”.

With the writing on the wall ever clearer, and financial doomsday drawing nearer, I honestly reckon that we all have little to lose – and everything to gain – by trying to exercise some “dangerous” personal initiative.

Will yours be the one with genius behind it?

Our integrity sells for so little, but it is all we really have.  It is the very last inch of us, but within that inch, we are free.

Valerie

Beneath this mask there is more than flesh.  Beneath this mask there is an idea, Mr Creedy.  And ideas are bulletproof!

– V

* Acknowledgement – reference to Mervyn King speech originally cited and brought to this author’s attention by Dave Harrison http://tradewithdave.com/?p=5310

IMF: US Faces Western World’s Biggest Crunch

18 May

From the UK’s Telegraph:

Earlier this week, the Bank of England Governor, Mervyn King, irked US authorities by pointing out that even the world’s economic superpower has a major fiscal problem –“even the United States, the world’s largest economy, has a very large fiscal deficit” were his words. They were rather vague, but by happy coincidence the International Monetary Fund has chosen to flesh out the issue today. Unfortunately this is a rather long post with a few chunky tables, but it is worth spending a bit of time with – the IMF analysis is fascinating.

Its cross-country Fiscal Monitor is not easy reading and is a VERY big pdf (17mb), so I’ve collected a few of the key points. The idea behind the document is to set out how much different countries around the world need to cut their deficits by in the next few years, and the bottom line is it’s going to be big and hard (ie 8.7pc of GDP in deficit cuts around the world, which works out at, gulp, about $4 trillion).

But the really interesting stuff is the detail, and what leaps out again and again is how much of a hill the US has to climb. Exhibit a is the fact that under the Obama administration’s current fiscal plans, the national debt in the US (on a gross basis) will climb to above 100pc of GDP by 2015 – a far steeper increase than almost any other country.

Another issue is that, according to the IMF, the cost of extra healthcare and pensions will increase by a further 5.8pc over the next 20 years. This is the biggest increase of any other country in the G20 apart from Russia, and comes despite America having far more favourable demographics.

But level of debt isn’t the only problem. Then there’s the fact that the US has a far shorter maturity of government debt than most other countries, meaning that even if it weren’t borrowing any extra cash it would have to issue a large chunk of new stuff each year as things are.

What does this mean? Basically with a large financing need, you are particularly vulnerable if the market suddenly decides it doesn’t want your debt, since those extra interest rates they charge you mount much more quickly. Japan, by the way, is the one with a real problem on this front. It could hardly be any more vulnerable to a sudden drop in investor demand, and many over there fear that the moment domestic savers stop buying JGBs, the country is doomed to Greek-style collapse…

Read the entire article (including IMF charts) here.

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